Bayesian statistics represents a powerful framework for data analysis that centres on Bayes’ theorem, enabling researchers to update existing beliefs with incoming evidence. By combining prior ...
Symmetries in nature make things beautiful; symmetries in data make data handling efficient. However, the complexity of identifying such patterns in data has always bedeviled researchers. Scientists ...
The general pattern of estimated volatilities of macroeconomic and financial variables is often broadly similar. We propose two models in which conditional volatilities feature comovement and study ...
Why does humanity live on a planet orbiting a rare G-type dwarf star (like our Sun) when M-type red dwarfs comprise 82% of ...
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Strong and temporally precise coupling between frontal slow oscillations and fast spindles consistently predicts memory retention across conditions, supporting its role as a fundamental mechanism in ...
Dr. Clayton is a mathematical statistics researcher and a parent to three children under 4. He’s the author of “Bernoulli’s Fallacy: Statistical Illogic and the Crisis of Modern Science.” As a parent ...
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